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Collin County voters continue to early vote at a record pace.
A total of 107,382 voters cast early ballots during the first full week of voting. All early voting locations will be open from 7AM to 7PM all this week.
Early voting ends on Friday, October 31. Election day is Tuesday November 4.
The Collin County Elections Department daily filing with the Texas Secretary of State.
Got a link?
As of Oct. 29th, 2008, 39.77% of Collin County's registered voters have voted early.
On Oct. 29th, 2004, 41.57% of registered voters in Collin County had voted early.
So it seems that the last election had a higher % of registered voters showing up early to vote. I have no clue why you are ignoring percent and only going by the number of voters since the population of Collin County has grown so much there would obviously be a higher number.
The population of Collin County grew 19.266% from 2004 (627,211) to 2008 (748,050).
The number of registered voters grew 14.91% from 2004 (369,412) to 2008 (424,528).
Thank you for the astute comments.
Your looking at the population vs registered voter rate is an interesting comparison that I haven't explored. There are several possible explanations, from shifting demographics to apathy. Generally I think the shifting demographics will favor the Dems, but the apathy usually favors the GOP. However, this year there is a pretty good argument that it is the conservative voter who is disaffected. I will be curious to see, and I will try to measure these and their net effect on the election.
As far as the turnout goes, I admit the reality may not live up to the hype, but the hype isn't that far off. Turnout is higher.
I think you got a bad number for 2004. According to the election results,
Early voters in 2004 = 154,544 or 41.8% of registered voters.
If we accept a projected final EV day turnout of 35,000 (Thursday's was 24,363) then the final Early vote turnout will look like this -
Early voters in 2008 = 228,218 or 53.8% of registered voters.
By raw count or by percentage, that's a nice jump in participation.
The elections department is predicting an 80% total turnout (it was 66.8% in 2004. I would feel more comfortable with a 78% prediction. I base that on keeping the same early to election day turnout ratio we had in 2004.
Thank you again for sharing your insight.
Excellent catch on the early voting. I was comparing 12 days of early voting in 2004 to 10 days in 2008. You are right that there will probably be a jump from ~41% to ~52% from 2004 to 2008 for early voting.
However, I still don't see a surge in registration that I am told by the media is happening because of Obamamania. A smaller percentage of the county is registered this time around.
The Collin County growth in the last four years has mostly been in Frisco, McKinney and Allen. I don't see the Demographics of those three cities helping Democrats.
Nationally, three groups that the Democrats were counting on are lagging expectations in early voting – Latino, newly registered, young. African Americans are definitely voting in record numbers, as expected, but Collin County doesn't have a very large African American population.
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